Assessing the impact of future CAP reforms on the demand of production factors

The CAP reform process has been a central issue for agricultural economics research in recentyears, and is gaining further attention in view of the post-2013 perspectives.The objective of this paper is to assess ex-ante the effect of different post-2013 CAP and marketscenarios on the demand of productions factors. The paper is based on the use of farmhousehold dynamic programming models maximising the net present value with a time horizonuntil 2030. A representative model has been implemented for 18 different farming systems in 8EU countries. Changes in marginal values of selected resource constraints (land, labour andcapital) are used to assess the potential effect of different scenarios on farm-household demandof production factors.Results highlight that both policy and market conditions change strongly the demand ofproductive factors.