Aufbau eines kognitionsorientierten Risikocontrollinginstrumentes:Unterstützung der Risikobewertungmittels des Analytic Hierarchy Process

The evaluation of risks discharges very often into subjective assessments of the probabilityof occurrence and / or the extent of loss. These assessments show a low transparency concerningthe development of the judgements and are influenced by various different cognitiveeffects hindering the assessing persons to better accomplish this important step in thehandling of risks. The Analytic Hierachy Process [AHP] is an instrument which has especiallybeen used in the field of strategic decision making to solve similar problems ofinducing people to make their tacit knowledge explicit. This way it seems reasonable toadopt the AHP methodology for the assessment of risks.[...]