Choice of Adaptation Strategies of Agricultural Households to Climate Shocks in Togo

Climate shocks are one of the most decried threats to farmers, especially in developing countries where agriculture remains largely dependent on rainfall. Reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions has been shown to be an effective solution. Unfortunately, this solution is struggling to materialise. Meanwhile, farmers have to survive. Thus, to mitigate the adverse effects of shocks, they are forced to adopt. However, they face a multitude of strategies, some of which can jeopardise their production and therefore their lives. This leads them to choose better strategies to maximise their utility. It is in this context that this paper aims to analyse the determinants of farmers' choice of adaptation strategies to climate shocks in climate shocks in Togo. The data used come from the INSEED database (EHCVM, 2018-2019). Zero-inflated Poisson and multivariate probit models are used. The results show that household size and the education level of the head of household are the determinants of the adoption of an adaptation strategy or not. In addition, households adopt strategies that are complementary or substitutable and there is heterogeneity in these strategies according to the Agri-ecological zone. Finally, the results show that land security, gender, age, welfare, access to agricultural credit and level of education are the main determinants of the choice of adaptation strategies to climate shocks. The study suggests that an optimal choice of strategies that do not compromise the future of farming households in Togo would be to implement a policy that promotes land security, access to agricultural credit and improved household welfare