Combining verbal forecasts : the role of directionality and the reinforcement effect
Year of publication: |
2023
|
---|---|
Authors: | Teigen, Karl Halvor ; Juanchich, Marie ; Løhre, Erik |
Published in: |
Journal of behavioral decision making. - New York, NY [u.a.] : Wiley, ISSN 1099-0771, ZDB-ID 1477211-5. - Vol. 36.2023, 2, Art.-No. e2298, p. 1-13
|
Subject: | combining forecasts | directionality | uncertainty | verbal probabilities | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | EU-Staaten | EU countries | Theorie | Theory |
-
Combining probability forecasts : 60 % and 60 % is 60 %, but likely and likely is very likely
Mislavsky, Robert, (2022)
-
Linking words in economic discourse : implications for macroeconomic forecasts
Aromi, J. Daniel, (2020)
-
Can > Will : predictions of what can happen are extreme, but believed to be probable
Teigen, Karl Halvor, (2013)
- More ...
-
Teigen, Karl Halvor, (2022)
-
Framing experts' (dis)agreements about uncertain environmental events
Løhre, Erik, (2019)
-
Probabilities associated with precise and vague forecasts
Løhre, Erik, (2017)
- More ...