Common stochastic trends among far east stock prices: effects of the asian financial crisis

This paper investigates empirically the change(s) in the long-run relationship(s) between the stock prices of eight Far East countries around the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998. Further tests are conducted to check the change in the influence of the Japanese and the US stock markets in the Far East Region before, during and after the crisis. Empirical investigation is conducted by means of rolling correlation coefficients, the Johansen multivariate cointegration method, causality tests and band spectrum regression. Results show significant long-run relationship(s) and linkage between the Far East markets before, during, and after the crisis. The most significant linkage and relationship are found during the crisis period. Results mostly indicate larger US influence in all periods but some evidence of increasing Japanese influence is also shown.