Contribution of the transport sector to the objective of the Effort Sharing Decision on non Emission Trading System sectors greenhouse gas emissions

The Decision 406/2009/EC on effort sharing aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from sectors not covered by the EU Emission Trading System. These non-ETS sectors include (non aviation) transport, buildings, agriculture and waste. The Decision establishes national emission targets below which each Member State is committed to limit its non-ETS greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. This report analyses the possible contribution of the transport sector in the Effort Sharing Decision targets at Member State level and at EU level. The analysis is based on the TREMOVE model scenarios, including sensitivity cases on GDP and oil price. According to the most recent scenario, at aggregated EU27 level, the transport sector (excluding aviation) would contribute to a -28 Mton CO2 emission reduction by 2020 compared with 2005. This represents about 10% of the non-ETS sector emission reduction target at EU27 level. At Member State level, the expected contribution is in a very wide range.