Does the Better-Than-Average Effect Show That People Are Overconfident?: Two Experiments.

We conduct two experiements of the claim that people are overconfident. We develop new tests of overplacement which are based on a formal Bayesian model. Our two experiments, on easy quizzes, find overplacement. More precisely, we find apparently overconfident data that cannot be accounted for by a rational population of expected utility maximizers with a good understanding of the nature of the quizzes they took.

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Year of publication:	2009-10-11
Authors:	Benoît, Jean-Pierre ; Dubra, Juan ; Moore, Don
Institutions:	Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Subject:	Overconfidence \| Better than Average \| Experimental Economics \| Irrationality \| Signalling Models

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	MPRA Paper.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Classification:	D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics ; D8 - Information and Uncertainty ; D80 - Information and Uncertainty. General
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108863