Econometric Analysis of Currency Substitution: A Case of Latvia

The paper provides a comprehensive econometric analysis of currency substitution for Latvia. Rather than drawing inferences on the degree of currency substitution from domestic money demand modelling, the most common approach to empirical analysis of the phenomenon, direct modelling of currency substitution ratio is ap-plied. Extensive model construction, estimation, evaluation and testing are per-formed. Methodological issues are also discussed. No simple policy recommenda-tions can be made at this stage of research, but a number of instruments are identi-fied, which can be used by the authorities to influence currency substitution behaviour.