Exploring discrepancies in energy performance certificates: Analyzing energy efficiency premiums for buildings based on theoretical energy requirements versus actual energy consumption

The building sector is lagging its needed decarbonization pathway. This paper examines EPC policy impacts on building economics in the Rhein-Main Region in Germany. Energy efficiency premiums for rents and sales prices and the effects of the EPC type are investigated using data from 01/2015 - 06/2023 (N = 212 167 rent sample; N = 159 573 sales sample) and hedonic price models. Energy efficiency premiums are present and range up to 7.0%, 4.6% and 6.9% for cold and warm rents and sales prices, respectively, when comparing an A+ to a D rated building. Consumption certificates reflect warm rents better but have a limited sales price impact. Results are rent efficiency premiums of up to 7.1% (A+), no rent discounts for energy inefficiency and a general sales price discount of about 3%. Requirement certificates are viewed as objective, yet less consumption-indicative, especially in the sales market. Rent efficiency premiums of up to 8.8% (A+) and no rent discounts for energy inefficiency are estimated for a building with a requirement certificate. Sales price efficiency premiums of up to 7.4% (A+) and sales price inefficiency discounts of up to -10.2% (H) exist. Overall, current German EPC policy does not address imperfect information, and it is recommended to revise its implementation.