External Shocks, Global Value Chain Transmission and China's Export Fluctuation

The emphasis is to inspect the contribution of non-global value chains embedding,global value chains embedding and different embedding modes on the fluctuation ofChina's export growth rate. The results indicate that, China's export growth rate holds asignificant "transitional fluctuations" feature under the mirror statistical method. Overall,from 2007 to 2011, the contribution of global value chains embedding on the fluctuationof China's export growth rate is biggest, Contribution rate is about 59.4%-80.8%. Thispaper provides an empirical basis and decision reference for China’s export steady