Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output
Year of publication: |
April-June 2016
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Authors: | Garratt, Anthony ; Lee, Kevin C. ; Shields, Kalvinder K. |
Published in: |
International journal of forecasting. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0169-2070, ZDB-ID 283943-X. - Vol. 32.2016, 2, p. 374-390
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Subject: | Cross-country interactions | Survey expectations | Probability forecasts | Global and national recession | Forecast evaluation | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Konjunktur | Business cycle | Welt | World | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Erwartungsbildung | Expectation formation | VAR-Modell | VAR model |
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