Interactions between Macro Economic Variables and Stock Markets in India : A Critical Review of Literature

Understanding the association of stock market performance with the variables which state the position of the economy as a whole has gained significant magnitude, given the quantum of efforts made by policy formulators, regulatory authorities, intellectuals, researchers and investors in this area. Present study explores and critically analyses the wide-ranging theoretical framework built by contributions of academic fraternity which has highlighted this rapport in their respective studies. Review of literature being conducted in two parts, the one focussing on conclusions drawn on the basis of variables used and the other on basis of models deployed. Variables based classified theory, clearly established that (Gross Domestic Product) GDP, Reserves of foreign currency, crude oil rates and gold prices have significant influence on stock behaviour, whereas other variables like inflation, level of interest, Money Supply, (Foreign Institutional Investors) FII and (Foreign Direct Investment) FDI inflows under divergent studies, do not show uniform impacts as varying form significant to non-significant association. Also, the study has recognised the change in trend in usage of models to predict relationship from traditional statistical models to technologically superior and less complicated econometrics tools used with fulfilment of less of preconditions. Need for a comprehensive and complete list of macroeconomic variables has also been realised