Investment; Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international real business cycle model and show that a thoughtful calibration of them along the lines of Raffo (2009) successfully addresses the "quantity", "international comovement", "Backus-Smith", and "price" puzzles. Second, we use OECD data for the relative price of investment to build and estimate these IST processes across the U.S and a "rest of the world" aggregate, showing that they are cointegrated and well represented by a vector error correction model (VECM). Finally, we demonstrate that when we fit such estimated IST processes in the model instead of the calibrated ones, the shocks are actually not as powerful to explain any of the four montioned puzzles.
Year of publication: |
2010-09-01
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Institutions: | International Monetary Fund (IMF) ; International Monetary Fund |
Subject: | Economic models | External shocks | Productivity | cointegration | statistics | business cycles | statistic | standard deviation | business cycle | correlations | correlation | consumption expenditure | equation | capital formation | final consumption expenditure | real gdp | real business cycle | calibration | gross fixed capital formation | fixed capital formation | probability | equations | business cycle fluctuations | stochastic processes | growth model | standard deviations | gdps | growth rates | stochastic process | prediction | general equilibrium models | hypothesis testing | stationary processes | growth rate | gross domestic product | national income | linear trend | total factor productivity | univariate analysis | functional form | real business cycles |
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