Cover -- CONTENTS -- FISCAL MULTIPLIERS IN MEXICO -- A. Inferring Fiscal Multipliers from State-Level Public Spending -- B. Estimation Results -- C. State-Dependent Fiscal Multipliers -- D. Growth Implications from the Fiscal Consolidation -- E. Conclusions -- References -- TRADE AND FINANCIAL SPILLOVERS TO MEXICO -- A. Introduction -- B. Trade Linkages -- C. Financial Linkages -- D. The Impact of Foreign and Domestic Factors on GDP -- E. A Closer Look at Changes in Monetary Conditions in the U.S. -- F. Conclusions -- References -- FIGURE -- 1. Response to a 100-bps Shock in 10-Year U.S. Bond Yield -- APPENDICES -- I. Historical Decomposition of Real GDP Growth -- II. Impulse Responses (Section D) -- II. Impulse Responses (Section E) -- CORPORATE VULNERABILITIES AND IMPACT ON THE REAL ECONOMY -- A. Rising Corporate Debt -- B. Vulnerabilities -- C. Stress Tests -- D. Impact on the Banking Sector -- E. Impact on the Real Economy -- F. Summary and Conclusion -- References -- APPENDIX -- I. Methodology for Corporate Sensitivity Analysis -- FIGURES -- 1. Corporate Debt -- 2. Corporate Leverage -- 3. Corporate Credit Metrics -- 4. Corporate Sensitivity Analysis -- 5. Impact on the Banking Sector -- BOX -- 1. Interest Coverage Ratio and Debt at Risk -- A CARBON TAX PROPOSAL FOR MEXICO -- A. Introduction -- B. Mexico's Current Excise Taxes on Fossil Fuels -- C. In Search for a New Energy Taxation Mechanism -- D. Estimating Optimal Carbon Tax Rates on Fossil Fuels for Mexico -- E. Impact of Imposing Carbon Tax Rates -- F. Conclusions -- References -- STRENGTHENING MEXICO'S FISCAL FRAMEWORK -- A. Introduction -- B. Mexico's Fiscal Framework: Recent Improvements and Pending Tasks -- C. Dealing with Exceptional Circumstances -- D. A New Nominal Anchor -- E. Fiscal Council -- F. Conclusions -- References -- FIGURE.
