Modeling the macroeconomic effects of AIDS, with an application to Tanzania

John T. Cuddington

A Solow-style model is developed to study the effects of the AIDS epidemic on the growth path of the economy and GDP per capita. The model uses conjectures about the demographic effects of AIDS in Tanzania to estimate the macroeconomic effects on the economy. The findings suggest that, without decisive policy action, AIDS may reduce Tanzanian GDP in the year 2010 by 15 to 25 percent in relation to a counterfactual no-AIDS scenario. (DSE)

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Year of publication:	1993
Authors:	Cuddington, John T.
Published in:	The World Bank economic review. - Oxford [u.a.] : Oxford Univ. Press, ISSN 0258-6770, ZDB-ID 90575-6. - Vol. 7.1993, 2, p. 173-189
Subject:	AIDS \| Entwicklung \| Economic development \| Prognose \| Forecast \| Tansania \| Tanzania \| 2010

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Extent:	Graph. Darst graph. Darst.
Type of publication:	Article
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Aufsatz in Zeitschrift ; Article in journal
Language:	English
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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