Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence : A Guidebook for Scoping Scenario Options in Cyber and Beyond

Generating Cyber Intelligence (CYBINT) scenarios & solutions to address uncertainty for decision-advantage: Using Intelligence Engineering & Strategic Options Analysis -- A Macro Cyber Scenario Case Study using Intelligence Engineering & Strategic Options Analysis Methods -- Examining the Landscape of Unauthorised Cyber Access (with reference to POSTnote #684) -- Intelligence Engineering-led set-up of generic Strategic Options Analysis Problem to Solution Spaces: Cyber example demonstration -- More than Semantics? Communication of (Un)certainty via ‘Estimative/Probabilistic Language’ -- Estimative/Probabilistic Language - Part II: Expanding the Range of Scenario Options -- Scoping ‘Digital Twins’ in intelligence & strategic foresight projects -- Generative-AI Pilot for Problem Spaces: Can ChatGPT help develop Scenarios? -- An Outline for an Interrogative/Prompt Library to help improve output quality from Generative-AI Datasets -- Prompt-engineering testing ChatGPT4 & Bard for assessing Generative-AI efficacy to support decision-making -- Can Generative-AI (ChatGPT and Bard) Be Used as Red Team Avatars in Developing Foresight Scenarios? -- Realising Foresight Intelligence (FORINT) - Advancing an Intelligence-derived Foresight Framework -- The Role of the Scenario and its Reassessment -- Advancing a New Methodological Process -- Process implications – Current software enhancements, including increasing levels of AI.