Scoring probability forecasts by a user's bets against a market consensus
David Johnstone, Stewart Jones, Oliver Jones, Steve Tulig
| Year of publication: |
2021
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|---|---|
| Authors: | Johnstone, David ; Jones, Stewart ; Jones, Oliver ; Tulig, Steve |
| Published in: |
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS. - Catonsville, MD : Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, ISSN 1545-8490, ZDB-ID 2141455-5. - Vol. 18.2021, 3, p. 169-184
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| Subject: | economic scoring rules | forecast evaluation | prediction markets | probability forecast | probability of bankruptcy | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Insolvenz | Insolvency | Theorie | Theory | Prognose | Forecast |
| Type of publication: | Article |
|---|---|
| Type of publication (narrower categories): | Aufsatz in Zeitschrift ; Article in journal |
| Language: | English |
| Other identifiers: | 10.1287/deca.2020.0424 [DOI] |
| Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654939