Study in support of an ex-post evaluation of the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between the EU and its member states and Canada : final report : main report

Since September 2017, the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) has been provisionally (and partially) applied. In line with established EU practice, the European Commission has requested an ex-post evaluation to be conducted at least five years after the provisional application. The study is conducted by a team of independent experts led by Trade Impact. It analyses the ex-post economic, social, environmental, and human rights effects of CETA, assessing its impact on the EU and its Member States on the one hand, and Canada on the other. The study consists of two main components. The first component is an analysis of the four sustainability pillars, based on desk research, data analysis, and economic modelling. The second component involves outreach to stakeholders in the EU, EU Member States, and Canada to gather perspectives and inputs on what CETA has meant so far. This final report contains the full analysis of the evaluation for the EU and its Member States and Canada, as well as summaries of the institutional analysis and the assessment of prior concerns regarding CETA. This study ends with answers to the evaluation questions and recommendations. The Annexes present the bibliography, methodological notes, tables of the numerical results from the quantitative analyses performed, additional baseline information for the economic, social and environmental analyses, stakeholder consultation results, the institutional analysis, and an assessment of stakeholder concerns regarding CETA.