The partisan effects of voter turnout : how conservatives profit from rainy election days

Felix Arnold and Ronny Freier

In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular contribution is the comparison of municipal and state elections.

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Year of publication:	2015 ; This version: March 23, 2015
Authors:	Arnold, Felix ; Freier, Ronny
Publisher:	Berlin : DIW
Subject:	Turnout \| Partisan Effects \| Rain \| Germany \| Municipalities \| Elections \| Wahlverhalten \| Voting behaviour \| Deutschland \| Wahl \| Election \| Politische Partei \| Political party \| Politischer Konjunkturzyklus \| Political business cycle

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Extent:	Online-Ressource (10 S.) Kt.
Series:	Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung. - Berlin : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar], ISSN 1619-4535, ZDB-ID 2125067-4. - Vol. 1463
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper ; Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature
Language:	English
Notes:	Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/108983 [Handle]
Classification:	D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legistures, and Voting Behavior ; H70 - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations. General
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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