Theoretische Analyse der Strategienwahl unterder Zwei- und Drei-Punkte-Regel im Fußball

The paper theoretically analyses the effect of the introduction of the three-point-rule on thestrategies in a soccer match. Therefore the expectation values for the goal difference at theend of the game under different strategies both for matches between equally strong teams and(more realistically) for matches between teams with varying quality levels are simulated. Itcan be shown that the rule change in tied games between equally strong teams leads to a moreoffensive manner of play, while in matches between teams with varying quality levels theweaker team plays in any case more offensive, while the stronger team only plays more offensiveif the gap between the quality of the teams is not too big.[...]