Trump 2.0, green transition, and transatlantic climate action

The Biden administration has been arguably the greenest in US history, yet it will be followed by one of the least climate-friendly presidents. Donald Trump is expected to end climate measures and focus on domestic fossil fuel production in the name of energy independence or dominance. Donald Trump has a clear record of dismantling domestic climate protections and walking away from international agreements. This paper explores how the EU and its member states could adjust their climate policies based on expected Trump administration positions regarding two key elements of global climate action, and possible European responses along the variables of unity and decisiveness. This paper is an updated version of the publication «US elections and European cohesion: Scenarios for Green Transitions and Transatlantic Climate Action» from October 2024 that contained scenarios for both a Harris and a Trump 2.0 administration.