Under pressure : can Belarus resist Russian coercion?
by Anai͏̈s Marin, adjunct with the Centre for French Civilisation, University of Warsaw (OKF UW), and associate fellow with Chatham House, London
This Brief analyses the current dynamics underpinning the Belarusian-Russian relationship and its possible future trajectory in the light of new factors which limit Belarus's room for foreign policy manoeuvre. It highlights how, under increasing pressure from Russia and faced with domestic challenges, President Lukashenka may be hard-pressed to maintain the delicate balancing act that he has performed up to now to ensure his regime's survival.