Anttonen, Jetro; Laine, Olli-Matti - 2024
. However, numerous institutions, including the European Central Bank, regularly publish forecasts for future inflation that … deviate from market expectations. We investigate the relative predictive accuracy of the ECB’s short-term inflation … projections against predictions derived from the market prices of short-term inflation-linked swaps (fixings) in 2018-2023. We …