This paper considers possible futures for the international monetary system in light of recent economic and political events in the United States and globally. It contrasts scenarios pre- and post-inauguration of the second Trump administration. Earlier scenarios foresaw very gradual rebalancing...

Unprecedented balance sheet expansion in recent years has resulted in heightened financial risk for central banks, reflected initially in higher profits and subsequently in significant losses. Combining data on central bank balance sheets with market data on asset prices, we provide evidence on...

The next president of the United States will have to address the country's chronic budget deficits and spiraling debt. Unfortunately, neither candidate has a coherent plan Neither candidate is committed to free trade. Whereas Trump's trade policies will be conditioned by animosity toward China,...