We present a systematic treatment of dynamic e⁄ects of Odyssean forward guidance explicit announcements about future policy rates. We focus on normal times unlike the mainstream of the literature that focuses on episodes of an e⁄ective (zero) lower bound on nominal interest rates. We present...

The Taylor rule at thirty / Richard H. Clarida -- Naming the Taylor rule / John Lipsky -- The Taylor rule at thirty : still useful to get the Fed back on track / Volker Wieland -- Silicon Valley Bank and beyond : regulating for liquidity / Darrell Duffie -- Silicon Valley Bank : what happened?...

A computationally feasible method for the full information maximum likelihood estimation of models with rational expectations is described in this paper. The stochastic simulation of such models is also described. The methods discussed in this paper should open the way for many more tests of the...

The paper examines international issues that arise in the design and evaluation of macroeconomic policy rules. It begins with a theoretical investigation of the effects of fiscal and monetary policy in a two-country rational expectations model with staggered wage and price setting and with...

Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...