The paper attacks the central policy evaluation question of forecasting the impact of interventions never previously experienced. It introduces treatment effects approach into a cognitive domain not currently spanned by its methodological arsenal. Existing causal effects bounding analysis is...

This paper reviews and interprets the history of the economy of modern Greece, from the eve of the war for independence in 1821 to the present day. It identifies three major historical cycles: First, the cycle of state and nation building, 1821-1898, second, the cycle of national expansion and...

This paper analyses developments in the Greek economy before and after the euro. The main thesis is that the imbalances that led to the crisis of the post-2010 period were building up during the previous three decades and that their root causes were not merely economic, but social, structural,...

In this paper, using a dynamic panel of 21 OECD countries, we find that, unlike the other OECD countries in the sample, wage setting institutions, competition conditions, public finances and external imbalances can account for the behavior of the public sector wage premium (WPR) and the self...

In recent years the growth pattern of Greece has been disturbed, as this country is suffering from a persisting economic crisis that goes beyond the usual business cycle. In this paper, we develop a neoclassical growth model of market and political power interactions that explains this crisis....

This paper puts forward an intertemporal model of a small open economy to analyze the effects of money, government debt and real shocks on growth, inflation and external balance. The model is an endogenous growth, overlapping generations model, with money in the utility function, convex...

This paper examines the effects of government debt policies with imperfect substitutability between securities issued by different countries. It puts forward an intertemporal model of a small open economy to analyze the effects of government debt on the real interest rate, economic growth,...

This paper puts forward an intertemporal model of a small open economy which allows for the simultaneous analysis of the determination of endogenous growth and external balance. The model assumes infinitely lived, overlapping generations that maximize lifetime utility, and competitive firms that...

This paper focuses on an econometric investigation of the macroeconomic and political factors that contributed to Greece's excessive debt accumulation and its failure to adequately address its fiscal imbalances, from the restoration of democracy in 1974 till the crisis of 2009. The econometric...

This paper proposes a framework for comparing the predictions of representative household models with those of models of overlapping generations, in the context of a class of endogenous growth theories with investment adjustment costs. In the model used in this paper, savings and investment are...