In this study, we explore the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the default risk of loan portfolios of the Greek banking system, using cutting edge machine learning technologies, like deep learning. Our analysis is based on loan level monthly data, spanning a 42-month period, collected through the...

This paper considers the problem of forecasting inflation in the United States, the euro area and the United Kingdom in the presence of possible structural breaks and changing parameters. We examine a range of moving window techniques that have been proposed in the literature. We extend previous...

This study takes Cyprus as a case country to examine the role of financial literacy for financial resilience in the pandemic period. Responses to the survey questions to assess the level of financial literacy show that in 2021 less than 4 out of 10 respondents had a good financial knowledge...

Using a panel of 37 OECD countries over the period 1990–2019, we examine the short to medium term effect of structural reforms and governance or institutional improvements on growth. Employing an updated OECD dataset on product and labor market regulation and governance indicators for the...

CPI inflation is subject to structural changes and exogeneous shocks that can have a significant impact to its dynamic evolution. The observed interaction between the intrinsic side of inflation dynamics and the disturbances fuels a rich spectrum of behaviors. To accommodate the complex outcome...

We utilize a unique micro price data set for Greece that underpins the Greek CPI. It spans almost two decades, during which Greece suffered a large economic shock. We find that during this time there were significant changes in the pricing behavior of Greek firms. We also find macro-economic...

The objective of Ed Nelson’s two-volume book, Milton Friedman and Economic Debate in the United States, 1932-1972, is to provide an account of Friedman’s views in major monetary-policy debates during the period identified in the book’s title. Nelson tells the story of the development of...

This paper investigates the short-run effects of fiscal adjustment shocks on macroeconomic aggregates in a group of 24 OECD economies from 1990 to 2019. The analysis controls for recession and expansions, high and low public debt ratio, tight and loose monetary conditions, and trade openness. We...

We investigate the drivers of the recent inflation in three currency areas: the United States, the euro area, and the United Kingdom. To do so, we use a VAR set-up to examine the nature of the shocks that underpinned the recent inflation. We apply two methods to calculate shocks -- the standard...

The paper investigates the effect of a (semi-) deposit run during a debt crisis on crime rates. The study focuses on Greece’s protracted debt crisis (2009-2018) and analyzes the response of crime to deposit outflows. It shows that deposit outflows corresponded to a significant increase in...