We apply agent based computer techniques to develop a modeling framework that can be used to study all aspects of commodity markets. The goal is to use advances in computation to study the micro level behavior of the market and its players. This work is motivated by the understanding that the...

We examine the evolution of the distributions of wealth and income in a Ramsey model in which agents differ in their initial capital endowment and where the labor supply is endogenous. The assumption that the utility function is homogeneous in consumption and leisure implies that the...

Our empirical investigation reveals that less democratic countries have higher volatility of GDP growth rates. Disparity in polity across countries robustly dominates differences in initial income, inequality or instability of regimes, the commonly cited reasons in the literature, as the main...

This paper examines the implications of adaptive learning in the New Keynesian benchmark model extended with inflation indexation to capture inflation persistence. First, we show that the price level will be stationary and follow an AR(2) process. Next, we study under which circumstances the...

We study identification in a class of linear rational expectations models. For any given exactly identified model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalent models that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to show that a model proposed by Jess Benhabib and Roger...

In this paper we deal with the validation of an agent-based model and, in particular, with the technical validation process, that is to say all the set of test and methods used to analyze if the results of a simulation agree with reality. Today, thanks to some important studies, validation...

The termstructure of interest rates is an instrument that gives us the necessary information for valueing deterministic financial cash flows, measuring the economic market expectations and testing the effectiveness of monetary policy decissions. However, it is not directly observable and needs...

An important feature of transition economies such as the Central and Eastern European countries is the so-called phenomenon of dollarization. It is of particular interest since extensive currency substitution not only makes domestic monetary and fiscal policies less effective, it also makes...

We analyze within a dynamic model the growth impact of private capital investment if the accompanying adjustment costs are a function of governmental activity. The impact of the productive public input is twofold: it (i) enhances private capital productivity and (ii) reduces adjustment costs. We...

The aim of the present work is to test the predictive power of the term spread in forecasting real economic growth rates and recession probabilities in Italy. According to the most recent literature, the relationship between the term spread and economic growth rates is modelled as a nonlinear...