This paper investigates the drivers of foreign exchange implied volatility in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. Currencies in non-euro EU countries are particularly sensitive to changes in market sentiment. Risk aversion significantly impacts the implied volatility surface for FX...

We study how individuals' views on current and future levels of income inequality change during periods of expansionary fiscal policy. In a randomized controlled trial (RCT), we provide information on fiscal expansion to a representative sample of the German population. Our findings reveal that...

A dynamic modelling for heavy-tailed cylindrical time series is developed by combining score-driven models with a generalised Pareto-type cylindrical distribution. The proposed specification extends existing cylindrical models by allowing location, scale, concentration, and crucially, the tail...

While theoretical perspectives often emphasize the role of high-quality institutions in attracting foreign investors, empirical findings remain rather mixed. This study advances existing research by exploring the interplay between quality of institutions and economic development in driving...

This paper investigates the nexus between medium- and high-technology exports and electric- ity consumption from 2016M1 to 2025M05 in Turkey. Nonlinear features in the data lead the use of a Smooth Transition Regression model that shows entrepreneurial expansion which intensifies electricity...

We provide causal evidence that the economic framing of a structural policy changes households' macroeconomic expectations. In a randomized survey experiment in the Bundesbank Online Panel of Households, all participants first read an identical neutral primer about climate policy measures and...

While prior research emphasizes the socio-economic benefits of financial inclusion, its implications for bank profitability remain underexplored. This paper employs seven traditional and four digital in- dicators to create a financial inclusion index through principal component analysis (PCA)....

This study proposes an optimized estimation approach for Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR) models by integrating the Majorization-Minimization Group Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (MM-gLASSO) algorithm, with a primary focus on improving forecasting performance in...

This study examines the potential for cooperation between traditionally competitive small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the sector 86901 - Medical laboratory services in Slovakia as a strategy to enhance competitiveness in the face of large market players. By building coalitions, SMEs...

This paper examines cross-country differences in consumer expectations about macroeconomic outcomes and mortgage borrowing conditions within a monetary union. Using harmonized microdata from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey for eleven euro area countries, we document significant national...