This paper examines the major sources of economic growth in Iran using annual time series data (1960 to 2003). The time series properties of the data are analysed by Perron’s innovational outlier and additive outlier models. The empirical results based these models show that there is not...

This paper employs all available annual time series data to endogenously determine the timing of structural breaks for 10 macroeconomic variables in the Australian economy. The ADF (Augmented Dickey and Fuller) test and the LP (Lumsdaine and Papell, 1997) test are used to examine the time series...

Applying a non-parametric Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) method, this paper attempts to investigate the productivity changes of Malaysian banks during the post crisis period of 1998-2003. Our results suggest that: (1) Malaysian banking sector have exhibit productivity regress of 6.3% and...

This paper compares the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of time series models using the Root Mean Square, Mean Absolute and Mean Absolute Percent Errors. We evaluate the performance of the competing models covering the period January 1971 to December 2002. The forecasting sample (January 1996...

Liberalized environments brought about by trade agreements and other restructuring of international markets under the General Agreement on Trade and Services (GATS) have increased market opportunities for foreign firms. This opening up of domestic market under GATS will cause the inflow of...

In an attempt to measure the intra and international trade competitiveness, we construct the indices of real exchange rate (RER), the conventional measure of competitiveness, for four major South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC) nations using annual data for the period of...

Testing for unit roots has special significance in terms of both economic theory and the interpretation of estimation results. as there are several methods available, researchers face method selection problem while conducting the unit root test on time series data in the presence of structural...

In the last decade there has been considerable discussion on what exchange rate policies shall be pursued by developing countries as well as countries in transition as mean of successful transformation and effective mechanism to spur private sector growth and promote stability. the central to...

This paper presents a methodology to construct time series of human and physical capital, taking into consideration the data-scarce environment of a developing country. A particular focus is placed on the construction of the human capital stock, which is defined by average years of schooling....

this study examines the role that sectors play in aggregate convergence of provincial labor productivity across the 67 provinces of turkey during the 1975-1990 period. a markov chain model is applied to characterize the long-run tendencies of productivity both at the aggregate and sectoral...