In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of specification tests in conditional moment restriction models under first-order local identification failure with dependent data. More specifically, we obtain conditions under which the conventional specification test for conditional moment...

Evaluating policy in imperfectly competitive markets requires understanding firm behavior. While researchers test conduct via model selection and assessment, we present the advantages of Rivers and Vuong (2002) (RV) model selection under misspecification. However, degeneracy of RV invalidates...

Using rural household survey data from West Bengal, we find that voters respond positively to excludable government welfare benefits but not to local public good programs, while reporting having benefited from both. Consistent with these voting patterns, shocks to electoral competition induced...

I show that stochastic contracts generate powerful incentives when agents suffer from probability distortion. When implementing these contracts, the principal can target probability distortions in order to inflate the agent's perceived benefits of exerting high levels of effort. This novel...

Social scientists have long been interested in marital homogamy and its relationship with inequality. However, measuring homogamy is not straightforward, particularly when one is interested in assessing marital sorting based on multiple traits. In this paper, we argue that Separate Extreme Value...

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with multiple treatments, where treatment status is determined according to a "matched tuples" design. If there are

All parameters in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are locally identified when the structural shocks are independent and follow non-Gaussian distributions. Unfortunately, standard inference methods that exploit such features of the data for identification fail to yield correct...

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higherorder variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as the estimate of the bias is asymptotically linear. It is...

Compared to the distributions of earnings, the distributions of wealth in the US and many other countries are strikingly concentrated on the top and skewed to the right. To explain the income and wealth inequality, we provide a tractable heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets in...

Our confidence set quantifies the statistical uncertainty from data-driven group assignments in grouped panel models. It covers the true group memberships jointly for all units with pre-specified probability and is constructed by inverting many simultaneous unit-specific one-sided tests for...