Pfeifer, Phillip E.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; … - In: The American Statistician 68 (2014) 4, pp. 264-270
This article examines the prediction contest as a vehicle for aggregating the opinions of a crowd of experts. After proposing a general definition distinguishing prediction contests from other mechanisms for harnessing the wisdom of crowds, we focus on point-forecasting contests-contests in...