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  • Search: isPartOf:"Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-083/III"
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Estimation theory 1 Forecasting model 1 Prognoseverfahren 1 Schätztheorie 1 Time series analysis 1 VAR model 1 VAR-Modell 1 Zeitreihenanalyse 1
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Free 1
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Book / Working Paper 1
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English 1
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Blasques, Francisco 1 Koopman, Siem Jan 1 Lucas, André 1 Łasak, Katarzyna 1
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Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-083/III 1
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ECONIS (ZBW) 1
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In-Sample Confidence Bands and Out-of-Sample Forecast Bands for Time-Varying Parameters in Observation Driven Models
Blasques, Francisco - 2015
We study the performance of alternative methods for calculating in-sample confidence and out of-sample forecast bands for time-varying parameters. The in-sample bands reflect parameter uncertainty only. The out-of-sample bands reflect both parameter uncertainty and innovation uncertainty. The...
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