The effects of monetary policy shocks are regularly estimated using high-frequency sur- prises in asset prices around central bank meetings as an instrument. These studies, insofar as they explicitly model the relationship between instrument and structural shock, assume a constant relationship...

Official statistics increasingly make use of higher-frequency time series. But when users ultimately are interested in a seasonally adjusted temporal aggregate of these data, we have to decide whether to perform seasonal adjustment or aggregation first. Consequently, we must weigh up the...

We exploit cross-sectional variation in the response of US states to a monetary policy shock to study how the impact of monetary policy varies with the share of married women who work. We find that the economy's response is more muted the lower the share of married women employed before the...

Given the importance of the transport sector for greenhouse gas emissions, both behavioral change will be needed to mitigate climate change in addition to technological innovation. We focus on the case of remote working as a less carbon-intensive substitute to commuting and analyze whether...

The introduction of a firm or product life cycle into New Keynesian frameworks fundamentally alters the design of optimal monetary policy. Economic welfare and the Phillips curve then depend on the gap between inflation and a time-varying inflation target that arises endogenously from turnover....

This article provides a practical overview for applying the global games approach to solve models with multiple equilibria that are often used in discussions on fi- nancial and macroprudential policies. Global games offer a tractable approach to resolve multiple equilibria by introducing...

We combine the latest difference-in-differences estimators for treatments with exit and structural gravity literature to evaluate the effects of sanctions on trade, when they are in place and when they are lifted. Our analysis shows that sanctions reduce trade between senders and targets by 58%,...

The classical X-11 seasonal adjustment method for monthly and quarterly time series is equipped with routines for data-driven selections of both Henderson trendcycle filters and 3 × k seasonal moving averages, currently involving up to three candidate filters in either case. Although these...

We study how monetary policy is transmitted through the open-end investment fund (OEIF) sector and how this transmission depends on fund fragility. Using high-frequency identified ECB monetary policy surprises and daily share-class data on German-domiciled OEIFs from 2010 to 2023, we show that...

Since 2018, tariffs have re-emerged as a tool for protecting domestic economies, particularly in the US. This paper examines the macroeconomic and welfare effects of various import tariff scenarios using a four-region dynamic general equilibrium model with a multi-sectoral production network....