We discuss the possible effects of the US administration's Digital Assets Strategy (DAS), on the US and Europe. If pursued consistently over time, DAS would tend to weaken the Fed's payments oversight and monetary control mechanisms, with possible adverse consequences including for the dollar's...

We discuss the possible effects of the US administration's Digital Assets Strategy (DAS), on the US and Europe. If pursued consistently over time, DAS would tend to weaken the Fed's payments oversight and monetary control mechanisms, with possible adverse consequences including for the dollar's...

Were the US to impose large and lasting tariffs on its imports from the EU, the effect on the euro area (EA) would be substantial and far-reaching. We expect the direct impact to be inflationary in the US and contractionary on EA aggregate demand and output. The indirect impact through an...

Were the US to impose large and lasting tariffs on its imports from the EU, the effect on the euro area (EA) would be substantial and far-reaching. We expect the direct impact to be inflationary in the US and contractionary on EA aggregate demand and output. The indirect impact through an...

In its first ten years (2014-2023), the banking union was successful in its prudential agenda but failed spectacularly in its underlying objective: establishing a single banking market in the euro area. This goal is now more important than ever, and easier to attain than at any time in the last...

Over the past decade, the Single Supervisory Mechanism focused on making banks safer, resulting in stronger banks but limited euro area cross-border integration. We argue that overbanking hinders both cross-border integration for the EU and the development and integration of capital markets. In...

In this paper, the ECB monetary policy stance is assessed by comparing the recent tightening cycle (2022-today) with the two preceding ones, which took place in 2000-2001 and in 2006-2008. Interest rates, quantitative indicators and monetary conditions indices (MCIs) are used for this purpose....

In its first ten years (2014-2023), the banking union was successful in its prudential agenda but failed spectacularly in its underlying objective: establishing a single banking market in the euro area. This goal is now more important than ever, and easier to attain than at any time in the last...

Over the past decade, the Single Supervisory Mechanism focused on making banks safer, resulting in stronger banks but limited euro area cross-border integration. We argue that overbanking hinders both cross-border integration for the EU and the development and integration of capital markets. In...

The events of March 2023 in the United States and Switzerland showed, once again, that banking systems remain fragile. The three US bank that failed were together close to the largest failure in history, and the failure of Credit Suisse, a Global Systemically Important Bank (G-SIB), was...