This article studies the effects of speculation in a thinly traded commodity futures market, paying particular attention to periods characterized by high-speculative activity of long–short speculators. Using the speculation ratio as a daily measure for long–short speculation, we employ...

Previous literature on price discovery in commodity markets is mainly focused on the question of whether the spot or the futures market dominates the price discovery process. Little attention, however, has been paid to the question of how the price discovery process is affected by futures...