Recent research has revealed a wealth of information about the microeconomics of currency markets and thus the determination of exchange rates at short horizons. This information is valuable to us as scientists since, like evidence of macroeconomic regularities, it can provide critical guidance...

International debt contracts can incorporate at least implicitly contingencies governing debt reduction. This paper examines a series of debt contracts that allow for the possibility of rescheduling, forgiveness, and rescheduling with forgiveness. The contract with both rescheduling and...

Recent research has revealed a wealth of information about the microeconomics of currency markets and thus the determination of exchange rates at short horizons. This information is valuable to us as scientists since, like evidence of macroeconomic regularities, it can provide critical guidance...

This paper examines whether rational, fully informed speculators will smooth exchange rates. Friedman's (1953) claim that they must do so is challenged, based on the exclusion of interest rate differentials from his interpretation of speculator behavior. Once one recognizes that interest rates...

This paper presents a theoretical model of exchange-rate determination intended to address the forward premium puzzle. It also explains the empirical observation that risk premiums depend on interest differentials. The model's closed-form solution indicates that currency risk premiums depend on...

After disinflation has been achieved, agents who form more sophisticated forecasts have lower confidence in the sustainability of a peg compared to less sophisticated agents. Furthermore, sustained financial stability leads to a declining proportion of sophisticated agents. Thus, the credibility...

This dissertation contains three essays. The first essay presents a new likelihood based approach for quantification of qualitative survey data on expectations and perceptions. A likelihood ratio test for model consistent expectations is proposed. Evidence from the Monte Carlo simulation studies...

This dissertation examines different aspects of capital liberalization and its impact on local stock market development. Specifically, it considers the consequences of opening local stock markets to foreign investors and the effects of allowing local companies to access foreign stock markets....

This thesis includes three essays. The first two essays show that after the unification in Italy there was a great degree of monetary, economic and financial disintegration. Essay 1 concentrates on one aspect of monetary disintegration: the persistence of local pre-unification currencies. The...

We use unique survey data from Bulgaria’s currency board to examine the reasons for persistent incomplete credibility of a financial stabilization regime. Although it produced remarkably positive effects in terms of sustained low inflation since 1997, the currency board has not achieved full...