Recent research suggests that communicating probabilities numerically rather than verbally benefits forecasters' credibility. In two experiments, we tested the reproducibility of this communication-format effect. The effect was replicated under comparable conditions (lowp robability,inaccurate...

We present estimates of home ownership for African-American and white households from 1870 to 2007. The estimates pertain to a sample of households headed by adult men participating in the labor force but the substantive findings are unchanged if the analysis is extended to all households. Over...

The advances of modern computer-based innovation have been mind-bogglingly fast and have changed both business and everyday life around the world. But change has not come evenly. The very pace of technological advancement has tended to hide some fundamental problems that have existed from the...

The popular press has triumphantly announced that the cause of the obesity epidemic is “junk food.” After a moment’s reflection, however, it seems likely that the true causal structure of the obesity epidemic can be neither single-equation nor univariate. Therefore, while the hypothesis...

The popular press has triumphantly announced that the cause of the obesity epidemic is “junk food.†After a moment’s reflection, however, it seems likely that the true causal structure of the obesity epidemic can be neither single-equation nor univariate. Therefore, while the...