The paper reconsiders the Hodrick-Prescott filter and the issue of a suitable choice of its smoothing parameter λ for quarterly data. To this end stochastic processes generate artificial data with a known growth trend and cyclical component, and a battery of Monte Carlo experiments tests what...

A recent article by J.D. Hamilton from 2018 attracted a great deal of attention, not only because of its telling title, "Why you should never use the Hodrick- Prescott filter", but also because it offered an alternative approach to detrending, the Hamilton regression filter (HRF). His...

The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a convenient and therefore widely and routinely applied detrending method in macroeconomics working with empirical data. However, James Hamilton has recently gained attention with his vigorous advice against it and a proposal of a better alternative. Before...

This paper derives firms' desired rate of utilization from an explicit maximization of a conjectured rate of profit at the micro level. Invoking a strategic complementarity, desired utilization is thus an increasing function of not only the profit share but also the actual utilization. Drawing...

The paper considers an elementary New-Keynesian three equation model and compares its Bayesian estimation to the results from the method of moments (MM), which seeks to match a finite set of the model-generated second moments of in ation, output and the interest rate to their empirical...

The paper considers two rival models referring to the new macroeconomic consensus: a standard three-equations model of the New-Keynesian variety and dynamic adjustments of a business and an inflation climate in an `Old-Keynesian' tradition. Over the two subperiods of the Great Inflation and...