In this study, we consider the construction of through-the-cycle ("TTC") PD models designed for credit underwriting uses and point-in-time ("PIT") PD models suitable for early warning uses, considering which validation elements should be emphasized in each case. We build PD models using a long...

This study presents an analysis of the impact of asset price bubbles on the markets for cryptocurrencies and consider the standard risk management measure Value-at-Risk (“VaR”). We apply the theory of local martingales, present a styled model of asset price bubbles in continuous time and...

This study presents an analysis of the impact of asset price bubbles on the markets for cryptocurrencies and con-siders the standard risk management measure Value-at-Risk (“VaR”). We apply the theory of local martingales, present a styled model of asset price bubbles in continuous time and...

The Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) revised accounting standard for credit loss provisioning is the most important change to United States (US) accounting standards in recent history. In this study, we survey and assess practices in the validation of models that support CECL, across...

Arguments about the possibility and desirability of exponential economic growth have animated the environmental movement for half a century, since the publication of the Club of Rome report The Limits to Growth in 1972. The debate has been revived in recent years as the climate crisis has...

In this study, we consider the construction of through-the-cycle ("TTC") PD models designed for credit underwriting uses and point-in-time ("PIT") PD models suitable for early warning uses, considering which validation elements should be emphasized in each case. We build PD models using a long...