When comparing a new treatment with a control in a randomized clinical study, the treatment effect is generally assessed by evaluating a summary measure over a specific study population. The success of the trial heavily depends on the choice of such a population. In this article, we show a...

For modern evidence-based medicine, decisions on disease prevention or management strategies are often guided by a risk index system. For each individual, the system uses his/her baseline information to estimate the risk of experiencing a future disease-related clinical event. Such a risk...

Under a general regression setting, we propose an optimal unconditional prediction procedure for future responses. The resulting prediction intervals or regions have a desirable average coverage level over a set of covariate vectors of interest. When the working model is not correctly specified,...