We introduce a new class of ARFIMA models, which removes the restrictions that the roots of AR and MA polynomials are outside the unit circle. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the least absolute deviation estimator under non-Gaussian setting.

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12076-abs-0001"We consider a parameter-driven regression model for binary time series, where serial dependence is introduced by an autocorrelated latent process incorporated into the logit link function. Unlike in the case of parameter-driven Poisson log-linear or...

New York City has been the centre of the HIV epidemic where vulnerable populations disproportionately face negative health outcomes. This paper explains the behaviour of the HIV epidemic in terms of its racial/ethnic composition due to the effects of the criminal justice system, and sustains the...

We study variance estimation in a negative binomial regression model for analyzing time series of counts, where serial dependence among the observed counts is introduced by an autocorrelated latent process. The regression coefficient vector is estimated by maximizing the pseudo-likelihood with...

Time series of counts have a wide variety of applications in real life. Analyzing time series of counts requires accommodations for serial dependence, discreteness, and overdispersion of data. In this paper, we extend blockwise empirical likelihood (Kitamura, 1997 [15]) to the analysis of time...

We study least absolute deviation (LAD) estimation for general autoregressive moving average time-series models that may be noncausal, noninvertible or both. For ARMA models with Gaussian noise, causality and invertibility are assumed for the parameterization to be identifiable. The assumptions,...

We study generalized linear models for time series of counts, where serial dependence is introduced through a dependent latent process in the link function. Conditional on the covariates and the latent process, the observation is modelled by a negative binomial distribution. To estimate the...