In this paper, we carry out a comprehensive comparison of Gaussian generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and autoregressive stochastic volatility (ARSV) models for volatility forecasting using the S&P 500 Index. In particular, we investigate their performance using...

Digital technology policies beyond the traditional urban-rural dichotomy have become critical in economic and industrial integration. Few empirical studies examine the specific impact pathway of digital economy policy on urbanisation, especially urbanisation driven by the digital economy. This...

This study measures liquidity in the catastrophe (CAT) bond market and the liquidity premium embedded in CAT bond spreads. The empirical results show that time to maturity, yield volatility, and yield dispersion from the primary market are the three most effective liquidity proxies. Given these...

Compared to the past literature on prediction markets that uses small-scale observational field data or experiments, this present research examines the efficiency of such markets by studying catastrophe (CAT) bonds. We collect actual catastrophe loss data, match them with the defined trigger...