Geopolitical conflicts generate macroeconomic spillovers that extend beyond directly affected countries through trade and commodity linkages. This paper quantifies these effects for Germany, France, Italy, and Spain using a monthly Trade-Related Conflict Exposure (TRCE) index for 2009–2023...

We extend the heteroskedasticity IV estimator of Rigobon and Sack (2004) from one to multiple monetary policy shocks by imposing recursive zero restrictions on the impact matrix. Unlike high-frequency identification, the approach requires neither intraday tick data nor precise announcement...

The interplay between fiscal and monetary policy is critical for small open economies exposed to global volatility, yet the regime-dependent nature of this transmission often remains underexplored. This study investigates whether the Hungarian economy operated under fiscal or monetary dominance...

This paper investigates the nonlinear and state-dependent relationship between inflation surprises and real equity returns across G7 economies. Using monthly data from January 1998 to May 2025, we employ nonlinear local projection models to estimate the dynamic responses of the equity market to...