Aim: The motivation for this research stems from Russia's notable high levels of government expenditure due to its continual involvement in armed conflicts, which often result in budgetary imbalances and economic policy uncertainty. These factors impact the inflation rate. This study delves into...

We present novel findings on the impact of monetary policy on consumer spending behavior using a newly assembled high-frequency household expenditure panel. Leveraging comprehensive weekly electronic transaction-level data for all individuals in Norway over 13 years, our study sheds light on the...

This paper examines the structural determinants of real exchange rates, emphasizing the persistent low-frequency movements that traditional models, such as Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP), often fail to capture. To address this, we propose a structural VAR model...

Precise demand forecasting and agile pricing strategies are crucial in modern business. This study aims to enhance these strategies by evaluating the efficacy of Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing (HWES) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. The study assesses their...