Käfer, Niclas; Mörke, Mathis; Weigert, Florian; … - 2025 - This version: April 23, 2024
We utilize Bayesian model averaging to estimate a stochastic discount factor (SDF) for single-stock options. A Bayesian … model averaging SDF outperforms reduced-form benchmark models in-sample and out-of-sample in pricing option return anomalies …