We present a short selective review of causal inference from observational data, with a particular emphasis on the high-dimensional scenario where the number of measured variables may be much larger than sample size. Despite major identifiability problems, making causal inference from...

We present a short selective review of causal inference from observational data, with a particular emphasis on the high-dimensional scenario where the number of measured variables may be much larger than sample size. Despite major identifiability problems, making causal inference from...

We consider multi-resolution time series models and their application to high-frequency financial data. An individual transaction share price of a specific firm is subject to market microstructure noise. Therefore, we propose trading duration time weighted averages over given time intervals....

The identification of a VAR requires differentiating between correlation and causation. This paper presents a method to deal with this problem. Graphical models, which provide a rigorous language to analyze the statistical and logical properties of causal relations, associate a particular set of...

Existing empirical evidence on the impact of macroeconomic variables on agriculture remains mixed and inconclusive. This paper re-examines the dynamic relationship between monetary policy variables and agricultural prices using alternative vector autoregression (VAR) type model specifications....

This paper applies a combined methodology of a recently developed directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis with Johansen and Juselius' methods of the cointegrated vector autoregression (VAR) model to a monthly U.S. system of markets for soybeans, soy meal, and soy oil. Primarily a methods paper,...

Existing empirical evidence on the impact of macroeconomic variables on agriculture remains mixed and inconclusive. This paper re-examines the dynamic relationship between monetary policy variables and agricultural prices using alternative vector autoregression (VAR) type model specifications....