Search Results - subject:"Economic forecasting"

Karger, Ezra; Kuusela, Otto; Abaluck, Jason; Bryan, Kevin; … - 2026

We elicit forecasts of how AI will affect the U.S. economy, comparing the beliefs of five groups: academic economists, employees at AI companies, policy researchers focused on AI, highly accurate forecasters, and the general public. The median respondent in each group expects substantial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015637299

A data-filtered sentiment analysis model for economic forecasting

Zheng, Wanwan; Hara, Kunihiko - 2025

In behavioral economics, sentiments influence decision-making processes, with positive sentiments tending to underestimate risks and negative sentiments overestimate them. At the individual level, these sentiments shape economic behavior in ways that collectively influence broader economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015506775

Sentiment index as a predictor of CPI : a lexicon-based approach using economic news data in Vietnam

Dang Phong Nguyen; Duc Dang Thi Viet; Nguyen Thi Mai Trang - In: Journal of open innovation : technology, market, and … 11 (2025) 3, pp. 1-14

This study aims to construct a sentiment index for predicting CPI in Vietnam. Adopting a lexicon-based approach, the study utilized two widely recognized sentiment dictionaries, specialized in financial and economic contexts, to build the sentiment index. Data was mined from nine official...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015472510

Innovative machine learning approaches for complexity in economic forecasting and SME growth : a comprehensive review

Al-Karkhi, Mustafa I.; Rza̧dkowski, Grzegorz - In: Journal of economy and technology 3 (2025), pp. 109-122

Economic forecasting and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) growth prediction have become essential tools for … ML and XAI in economic forecasting and offer valuable guidance for researchers and decision-makers to optimize …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015433631

A comparative analysis of the calibrated DSGE model and SSA method results on the Latvian economy

Hilkevics, Sergejs; Semakina, Valentina - In: Economies : open access journal 13 (2025) 4, pp. 1-22

This article examines the theoretical foundations of economic forecasting based on DSGE models. DSGE models are the … economic agents in the analysis of economic processes made them one of the best economic forecasting tools. The methodological … basis of this paper is two approaches of economic forecasting theory: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. In this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015410038

Proxy datasets for measuring GDP in Uganda

Mugume, Adam; Isingoma, Milly Nalukwago; Musoke, Samuel … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015417869

Anticipating prosperity : a systemic analysis of long-term economic trajectories

Ngo Quoc Dung; Tran, Thi Van Hoa; Vu Hiep Hoang - In: Journal of economics & development : JED 27 (2025) 1, pp. 4-21

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015632570

Modeling the distribution of key economic indicators in a data-rich environment : new empirical evidence

Kynigakis, Iason; Panopulu, Aikaterinē - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 76 (2025) 10, pp. 2071-2090

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015552096

Word2Prices: Embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction

de Araujo, Douglas Kiarelly Godoy; Bokan, Nikola; … - 2025

Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic similarity between the words in a corpus of text. We estimate the word embeddings of the European Central Bank's introductory statements at monetary policy press conferences by using a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015432200

An exploratory application of machine learning algorithms in estimating net salaries in Romania

Aiftincăi, Adriana - In: The Romanian economic journal : REJ 28 (2025) 90, pp. 184-193

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015639609