Search Results - subject:"Economic forecasting."

A comparative analysis of the calibrated DSGE model and SSA method results on the Latvian economy

Hilkevics, Sergejs; Semakina, Valentina - In: Economies : open access journal 13 (2025) 4, pp. 1-22

This article examines the theoretical foundations of economic forecasting based on DSGE models. DSGE models are the … economic agents in the analysis of economic processes made them one of the best economic forecasting tools. The methodological … basis of this paper is two approaches of economic forecasting theory: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. In this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015410038

A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF

Allayioti, Anastasia; Arioli, Rodolfo; Bates, Colm; … - 2024

This paper looks back on the 25-year history of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). Since its launch in the first quarter of 1999, it has served as an important input for policymaking and analysis, especially over the past five years, where the euro area has, following a period of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199484

Evaluating the macroeconomic forecasting performance of the Ministry for Finance and Employment

Davison, Kurt; Camilleri, Gilmour; Spiteri, Kylie - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015190242

Potential of business uncertainty indicators in forecasting economic activity : the case of Russia

Lola, Inna S.; Asoskov, Dmitry G. - In: Russian journal of economics 10 (2024) 4, pp. 351-364

This study investigates the utility of business uncertainty indicators as predictive tools for forecasting economic activity in the context of Russia. In an era characterized by global economic volatility and geopolitical shifts, understanding the dynamics of economic uncertainty and its impact...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015396286

Economic forecasting with big data : a literature review

Lin, Wencan; Wei, Yunjie - In: Journal of management science and engineering 9 (2024) 2, pp. 254-270

Big data technology has revolutionized the research paradigm of economic forecasting regardless of the data source …, forecasting method, or forecasting result. This study evaluates the current literature on economic forecasting using big data and … big data in economic forecasting. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632204

The influence of central bank's projections and economic narrative on professional forecasters' expectations: Evidence from Mexico

Antón Sarabia, Arturo; Bazdresch, Santiago; … - 2023

This paper evaluates the influence of central bank's projections and narrative signals provided in the summaries of its Inflation Report on the expectations of professional forecasters for inflation and GDP growth in the case of Mexico. We use the Latent Dirichlet Allocation model, a textmining...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540978

Econometric forecasting using ubiquitous news text : text-enhanced factor model

Seo, Beomseok - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447774

Forecasting with economic news

Barbaglia, Luca; Consoli, Sergio; Manzan, Sebastiano - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 41 (2023) 3, pp. 708-719

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448428

The influence of central bank's projections and economic narrative on professional forecasters' expectations : evidence from Mexico

Antón Sarabia, Arturo; Bazdresch, Santiago; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450508

The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey

Lehmann, Robert - In: Journal of Business Cycle Research 19 (2022) 1, pp. 43-94

The ifo Institute is Germany's largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product. However, the ifo Business Survey is not solely limited to the Business Climate and also delivers a multitude of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015175567