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  • Search: subject:"Election forecasting"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Election forecasting 33 Forecasting model 26 Prognoseverfahren 26 Election 23 Voting behaviour 23 Wahlverhalten 23 Wahl 22 Theorie 9 Theory 9 Forecast 8 Prognose 8 Presidential election 7 Präsidentschaftswahl 7 Econometric models 6 Meinungsforschung 6 Opinion poll 6 United States 6 Combining forecasts 5 Economic voting 5 Prediction markets 5 USA 5 Bayes-Statistik 4 Bayesian inference 4 Deutschland 4 Germany 4 Polls 4 Regression analysis 4 Regressionsanalyse 4 Economic forecast 3 Expert judgment 3 Wirtschaftsprognose 3 election forecasting 3 Aggregation 2 Austria 2 Citizen forecasting 2 Combining 2 Compositional data 2 Economic forecasting 2 Equal weights 2 European Parliament 2
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Online availability
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Undetermined 31 Free 2
Type of publication
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Article 34 Book / Working Paper 4
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 25 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 25 Arbeitspapier 2 Graue Literatur 2 Non-commercial literature 2 Working Paper 2
Language
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English 28 Undetermined 10
Author
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Graefe, Andreas 6 Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 3 Aichholzer, Julian 2 Armstrong, J. Scott 2 Auberger, Antoine 2 Nadeau, Richard 2 Rothschild, David 2 Aguiar-Conraria, Luís 1 Arnesen, Sveinung 1 Bailey, Delia 1 Berg, Joyce E. 1 Bergfjord, Ole 1 Blumenau, Jack 1 Calvocoressi, Richard 1 Chernov, Mikhail 1 Colladon, Andrea Fronzetti 1 Cuzán, Alfred G. 1 Cuzáne, Alfred G. 1 Dassonneville, Ruth 1 Elenev, Vadim 1 Fair, Ray C. 1 Fritsch, Markus 1 Gelman, Andrew 1 Goel, Sharad 1 Gruca, Thomas S. 1 Gujral, Kritee 1 Hagerty, Michael 1 Hanretty, Chris 1 Haupt, Harry 1 Hollenbach, Florian M. 1 Hooghe, Marc 1 Jones, Randall J. 1 Jones, Randall J. <jun> 1 Jérôme, Bruno 1 Kang, Seungwoo 1 Küchenhoff, Helmut 1 Lauderdale, Benjamin E. 1 Leiter, Debra 1 Magalhães, Pedro C. 1 Mongrain, Philippe 1
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Institution
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HAL 1
Published in...
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International journal of forecasting 21 International Journal of Forecasting 6 Discussion papers / CEPR 2 The journal of prediction markets 2 International review on public and non-profit marketing 1 Journal of Prediction Markets 1 Journal of business research : JBR 1 Public Choice 1 Social Indicators Research 1 Working Papers / HAL 1
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 27 RePEc 10 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 1
Showing 1 - 10 of 38
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Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections
Fritsch, Markus; Haupt, Harry; Schnurbus, Joachim - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 670-688
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440636
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The comovement of voter preferences : insights from U.S. presidential election prediction markets beyond polls
Chernov, Mikhail; Elenev, Vadim; Song, Dongho - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015333867
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Pitfalls of demographic forecasts of US elections
Calvocoressi, Richard; Pons, Vincent; Shapiro, Jesse M. - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015085126
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Forecasting South Korea's presidential election via multiparty dynamic Bayesian modeling
Kang, Seungwoo; Oh, Hee-Seok - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 1, pp. 124-141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450263
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Embrace the differences : revisiting the PollyVote method of combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections (2004 to 2020)
Graefe, Andreas - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 1, pp. 170-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462773
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Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results : evidence from Japan
Umeda, Michio - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 2, pp. 956-966
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465169
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Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data : Adding polls to a structural forecasting model
Mongrain, Philippe; Nadeau, Richard; Jérôme, Bruno - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 1, pp. 289-301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692710
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Forecasting government support in Irish general elections : opinion polls and structural models
Quinlan, Stephen; Lewis-Beck, Michael S. - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 4, pp. 1654-1665
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274326
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Forecasting multiparty by-elections using Dirichlet regression
Hanretty, Chris - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 4, pp. 1666-1676
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274328
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Model-based pre-election polling for national and sub-national outcomes in the US and UK
Lauderdale, Benjamin E.; Bailey, Delia; Blumenau, Jack; … - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 2, pp. 399-413
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415042
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